Browsing Posts published in October, 2008

Prop 3 – CHILDREN’S HOSPITAL BOND ACT

My Summary: This is a bond measure just shy of $1 billion dollars. Of the nearly $1 billion dollars, “80 percent of bond proceeds go to hospitals that focus on children with illnesses such as leukemia, cancer, heart defects, diabetes, sickle cell anemia and cystic fibrosis.” The other 20 percent go to UC hospitals for “acute care.”

My Opinion: This is probably going to be one of the more boring propositions. Obviously it’s a bond measure, and I don’t support it. How stupid is it that funding for private hospitals has to be done through a ballot measure? I’ve got two great reasons to vote no. Here’s the first, straight from the argument FOR the prop.

Construction costs are increasing and cannot be financed with the $750-million bond that voters approved in 2004.

The last big government handout wasn’t enough, so now they need more? Nice try. The best part is that they haven’t even spent all of that money. The major donors is also a good list to look at to decide who thinks this bond is important. The major donors are:

Childrens Hospital Los Angeles; Children’s Hospital of Orange County; Miller Children’s Hospital at Long Beach; other nonprofit children’s hospitals that could receive grants from the bond money.

If you’ve ever needed an example of “special interests,” it doesn’t get much better than this. I think the initial reaction people have is that these hospitals must be strapped for cash, and OOOH the poor little dying children! From everything I’ve read, these hospitals don’t need this money to keep their doors open. They’ve still got money from the last bond measure, and their greedy little pockets are already looking for more.

Bottom Line: First strike is that it’s a bond measure, and second strike is that no one can explain to me how sickly little children will be dying in the streets without this bond.

I am voting NO on Prop 3.

Make sure you visit Geeky Weekly for his take on Prop 3.

Prop 2 – STANDARDS FOR CONFINING FARM ANIMALS

My Summary: I’ll take this straight from the voter guide: “Requires that calves raised for veal, egg-laying hens and pregnant pigs be confined only in ways that allow these animals to lie down, stand up, fully extend their limbs and turn around freely.”

My Opinion: First of all, I think there is a clear distinction between humans and animals. Animals shouldn’t be tortured, but I don’t think they are equivalent to humans. So is there really a problem with animal treatment? From what I’ve read California law already calls for the humane treatment of animals, so I’m leery of why we need a ballot proposition to fix this “problem.” A ballot proposition seems like a stupid way to address this. Why not do it in the legislature where the politicians could work with poultry and dairy farmers? Personally, I think it’s somewhat of a power grab by animal rights activists. An ad on tv shows a forklift rolling a cow over on the ground. Obviously that’s unacceptable, and it’s probably against California law right now, but why do they show that in the commercial when the bill is about animal housing? To tug at your heart strings and make the farm, dairy, and poultry people look evil. That’s disingenuous.

I actually find the economic effects more compelling. I’ll copy and paste a couple I found at Ballotpedia:

A May 2008 study by Promar International that was commissioned by opponents to Prop. 2 estimated the fiscal impact of the measure on the California agriculture industry and consumers. This study concluded:

* 95% of the California egg industry and accompanying economic output would be lost by 2015.
* The total current economic output of the industry is $648 million and 3,561 jobs.
* Egg production costs would increase by 76%.

There was also a UC Davis study that estimated the cost of eggs would increase by 25%, but it would be a mute point because most of the egg producing farms would just move out of state. Overall the impact to the California economy would be a big negative. Instead of getting our eggs from our local economy, we would get more from out of state than we do now, and possibly Mexico.

Bottom Line: I don’t think an issue like this should be decided by a poorly worded proposition. If the legislature thinks this is a big issue, then they can duke it out and make some laws (that’s their job!).

I am voting NO on Prop 2.

Make sure you visit Geeky Weekly for his take on Prop 2.

As the first in a series of posts, let me give you a little background on what we’re doing, and where I come from when I decide how to vote on ballot measures.

Everyday for the next 12 days Geeky Weekly and I will post about the props in order at right around 6 pm. Now I’ve got a baby, and I know Geeky Weekly has a life, so if they don’t come at precisely that time, you’ll have to forgive us. We’re posting these completely independent of each other, so it will be interesting to see if there are any differences of opinion.

Before I post about Prop 1A, let me give you a little background on my approach. For the most part, if a ballot measure has the word “bond” anywhere in it, I usually vote no. In case you don’t know how bonds work, it’s basically the government taking out a loan. They sell the bonds now at a certain price, and then pay them back later with interest. I’m not sure if all bonds are sold at the same promised interest rate, but as you’ll see in this post, the bond measure for Prop 1A costs twice as much as it should (because of interest). I understand that for some “big” projects it makes sense to take out a loan, much like a homeowner doesn’t usually buy a house outright, but takes a loan and makes payments. The problem with California selling more bonds, is that we’re broke! Until Sacramento makes healthy spending decisions, there is no way I can support a bond measure that will saddle us with moe debt in the future.

Beyond bond measures, most propositions are either social issues or “fluff.” For the social issues, I of course lean to the conservative side, so you won’t be surprised there. For the “fluff” factor, anybody and their mother can get a proposition on the ballot, and I can’t remember seeing one in the last eight years that makes government bureaucracy smaller. So unless something about it strikes me as an important issue, I’m probably a no on anything that just adds to the size of government because some self-interest felt it needed to be on the ballot.

With all of that being said, here are the main places I’m looking to for how to vote. A great resource for a conservative point of view is Tom McClintock. You can also read the pro and con arguments in the Voter Guide. I’m even looking at the LA Times, but mainly because it lists a lot of donors, which can be a good indicator of whether or not I agree.

Now on to the props!

Prop 1A – SAFE, RELIABLE HIGH-SPEED PASSENGER TRAIN BOND ACT

My Summary: This would authorize the sale of $10 billion dollars in bonds to help fund a bullet train between Orange County and San Francisco. The estimated cost of the actual train is $45 billion.

My Opinion: There are a couple problems with this, the first being that it’s a bond measure. The $10 billion dollars in bonds will end up costing $20 billion. As a state we already have over $100 billion in bond debt, so should we really approve more? My other problem is, do we really need this? Like many in So Cal I’m stuck thinking about how far I want to live from work because the freeways are so congested, but instead of fixing that issue we’re trying to spend money on a bullet train? Are there that many people that need to commute between San Fran and LA? I highly doubt it. My last big problem is, I can’t find where the other $35 billion dollars is supposed to come from. From the voter guide: “Section 8(e) says the bond funds are “. . . intended to encourage the federal government and the private sector to make a significant contribution toward the construction…” So they want they state to go further into debt, when they don’t even have the rest of the money to complete the project? The whole thing sounds like a joke.

Bottom Line: This is a prime example of why the government is so pathetic at accomplishing anything. Until Sacramento can balance the books, I refuse to support bond measures. The proponents of the prop claim that it won’t raise taxes, but don’t be fooled. If it weren’t for the $100 billion in debt we are right now, there would be no budget crisis. The ballot measure itself might not raise taxes, but when it saddles the state with debt, someone will have to pay for it. Right now I don’t trust the politicians in Sacramento to cut anything, and when push comes to shove, the only alternative is to raise taxes.

I am voting NO on Prop 1A.

Make sure you visit Geeky Weekly for his take on Prop 1A.

Can I Vote for John Stossel?

2 comments

My brother shared this through google reader, and I finally watched my recording tonight. I highly recommend you watch this before the election. If on any level you believe the government can make our lives better, please watch this video so that your beliefs will be shattered.

Here is part 1. Click the person’s other videos to see the rest. It almost makes me sad that McCain is my best choice. I’d rather vote for Stossel.

Joe the Plumber

17 comments

In case you hadn’t been paying attention, Obama wants to raise people’s taxes. Sure, he goes on and on about how he wants a tax cut for 95% of the working people, but he never mentions that a large portion of that 95% don’t pay any income taxes to begin with. So if someone is getting a check in the mail, but they didn’t pay the government anything in the first place, who’s money are they getting?

If Obama has his way, they’ll be getting Joe the Plumber’s money. As Obama said on the campaign trail, he wants to spread the wealth around. When confronted all Obama can do is say things like “Warren Buffet can pay more!” or his favorite “Exxon Mobil is the devil,” but what about Joe the Plumber? Does Obama seriously think that raising the taxes of those making more than $250,000 and giving it to someone at McDonald’s will help the economy?

Silly Obama…here in the USA we practice capitalism. If he loves socialism so much he should go see if Castro has any openings.

Video of Obama wanting to Spread the Wealth Around

Video of Joe the Plumber being Interviewed After

Update: Found a good article about Obama’s incessant line that 95% of American’s will get a tax cut. Read that here.

Purchase a Home Recently?

No comments

If you own a home you can probably apply for a “Decline-in-Value Reassessment.” We got our property tax bill in the mail the other day, and I noticed that the wonderful government had already reassessed our property…up $20k from what we purchased. Now that home values have decreased though, it’s time for some payback. All you have to do is print out the form you can find at the Assessor’s Website, find a couple similar properties and their value, and then mail it. The link is for LA County, but I’m sure other counties have similar procedures.

With Three Weeks Left…

9 comments

In the last couple weeks the financial crisis has single-handedly given Obama a comfortable lead in the national polls, and made the electoral road map very tough for McCain. He will need to win almost all the battleground states and find some way to flip a state like New Mexico, Minnesota, or Virginia where Obama has established significant leads. Is the race over? No, and it’s hard to tell how accurate the polls are. I heard an interview with Zogby I think it was who said that 80% of their calls they get hung up on. That means to get a poll of 3,000 people to answer there were 12,000 that hung up.

But regardless of the polls, I’ve already accepted that Obama might be the next President, and sadly I think it has much less to do with the vision and philosophy that Obama has put out, and more to do with the Republicans lack of fiscal restraint. Don’t get me wrong, I think Obama and his Herbert Hoover style of raising taxes will be worse for the economy than anything John McCain does, but right now the general public wants something new. I’m surprised I haven’t heard anyone mention how different the race might be right now if it was Romney against Obama, but no one could have predicted the economy would be the sole issue this election.

With the public declaring they want something new, I don’t think there is much McCain can do to change their minds. What he needs to do is come out and say that he will decrease the size of government and lower taxes (which would be in stark contrast to Obama), and while he has sort of said that, there are two big problems he faces. The first is that on one hand he says that, and then he says he wants to bailout all the stupid people that bought houses they can’t afford. The second is that people have lost faith in Republicans as believers in smaller government.

I think George W. Bush’s greatest mistake was letting government spending run rampant because he has damaged the Republican brand immensely. I think the War on Terror will be judged positively if Iraq becomes a beacon of hope in the region (and there hasn’t been another 9/11, which Bush deserves credit for). The economic issues have been pushed to the side though, and that’s what has McCain in such a pickle. He can’t come out and say the best way to get out of a financial crisis is lower taxes and smaller government, because people think he’s full of crap. It’s in this that I think Republicans have hope for the future.

If Obama wins and Democrats control Congress and the White House, I think Republicans should take a long look at what they stand for. I’ve said before that I’m a conservative first and a Republican second, and in recent years the Republicans in office have strayed a great deal from conservative principals of smaller government. If the Republicans find themselves in the minority in the next four years they need to stop and think about how they got there. Being “democrat-lite” is not what people want.

I think Obama’s policies will self-destruct if he governs anything like he talks and has voted in the past. Herbert Hoover was a one term President, so it’s possible the Republican party can turn itself around in four years. My biggest fear is that the economy recovers like it did in the early 90′s under Clinton. The economy had started a major upswing right before he got into office, and instead of the first Bush getting the credit it was Clinton. I’m not sure that can happen with Obama because we’ve just started to have major problems, and the end isn’t even in sight. That being said, once we hit bottom, there is only one way to go, and that is up. I guarantee if things get better the media will make sure it was Obama’s doing.

If that happens, the road for the Republicans is more difficult, but only time will tell. Whether Republicans can keep the White House or not, they’ve been getting spanked in Congress for a while now, so they need to sit down and really think about what they’ve done, and what they need to change. Get back to the party of limited government and lower taxes, and maybe then the people would be willing to trust you in office.

Little Big Planet

5 comments

I was going to make a political post, but let’s face it, that’s boring. And this, Little Big Planet, is far more exciting than anything political.

Little Big Planet is a new game coming out for the PS3 in a couple weeks on October 21st. It’s hard to categorize the game, because it’s in a category all to itself. Just watch the videos. It’s amazing.

Powered by WordPress Web Design by SRS Solutions © 2012 The Blarg Design by SRS Solutions